Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:39:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00ea…4013 sports 312 markets active 0h ago coverage 56d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$363 (-5%) realized −$363 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate62%194W / 118L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day12.1pace
Fees−$58est.
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$436
7 days−$436
14 days−$436
30 days−$436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 60% −$186
crypto 26% −$7
other 13% −$201
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -18.6% -26.4% 78% 2% -27.4%
≤30d 97 -18.6% -26.4% 78% 2% -27.4%
≤90d 312 -4.7% -13.8% 62% 37% -14.8%
all 312 -4.7% -13.8% 62% 37% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 37% -14.8%
10% -22.0% 35% -23.0%
15% -29.6% 31% -30.4%
20% -36.5% 28% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
40% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late -28% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$20 · ×0.51 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

56d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$363
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses194 / 118
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)312 / 312
History coverage56d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day12.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 312 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $211 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $98 +$2 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $304 +$20 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $17 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $96 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $13 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 16 $23 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $27 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $43 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $17 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $79 +$4 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $33 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $27 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $19 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $7 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 992 history records