Wallet analysis

2026-06-21T03:16:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00e0…8a94 crypto 94 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account⚠ Covers last 5d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (622 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$144,381 (-420%) realized −$144,381 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -48% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -60% what you keep after slip
Net edge-60%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate30%59W / 135L
Whale WR58%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$366per market
Trades / day622.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,666
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (622 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-52.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 194 -47.6% -52.6% 30% 27% -54.7%
≤30d 194 -47.6% -52.6% 30% 27% -54.7%
≤90d 194 -47.6% -52.6% 30% 27% -54.7%
all 194 -47.6% -52.6% 30% 27% -54.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover622.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.6% 27% -54.7%
10% ← realistic here -57.1% 20% -59.1%
15% -61.3% 7% -63.0%
20% -65.1% 5% -66.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -50% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -48% · $-wt -50% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 58% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -18% → late -78% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
35.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$108 vs −$276 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.17 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$144,381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses59 / 135
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 94
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$366
Trades / day622.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 194 Trades
no open positions (135 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $167 −$167 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 21 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 21 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $9 +$117 +1252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $800 −$800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 21 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 21 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 21 $200 −$161 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 21 $450 −$450 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 21 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 21 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 21 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 21 $7 +$49 +695%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 21 $294 −$294 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 21 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 21 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 21 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 21 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 21 $225 −$225 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 21 $450 −$450 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 21 $668 −$668 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 21 $470 −$470 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 21 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 21 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 21 $1,800 −$1,800 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 21 $235 −$235 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 21 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 21 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 21 $400 −$400 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 21 $210 −$210 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 21 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 21 $175 −$175 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 21 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 21 $425 −$425 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $242 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $18 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $63 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $63 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $353 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $22 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records