trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 100% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 38% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 38% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 19 | +25.1% | +13.2% | 42% | 5% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +13.2% | 5% | -7.8% |
| 10% | +2.4% | 5% | -16.6% |
| 15% | -7.5% | 5% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -16.6% | 5% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Yes | 33¢ | 32¢ | $31 | $30 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $46 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $42 | $0 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $91 | +$1 | +1% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 31 | $4 | −$1 | -14% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 30 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 30 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 28 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 27 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | +$10 | +547% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -18% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 11 | $1 | −$1 | -46% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April? | May 03 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 20 | $112 | $0 | -0% |