Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:45:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00df…2c3c
crypto · 229 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,560 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,560 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,560
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses77 / 152
Open positions0
Markets (closed)229 / 229
History coverage73d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$205
7 days−$650
14 days−$861
30 days−$887
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $179 −$73 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $157 −$12 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $167 +$18 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $264 −$69 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $325 −$17 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$14 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $40 −$38 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $37 −$13 -36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $28 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$10 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $75 −$71 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $62 +$21 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 09 $64 −$29 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 09 $113 −$26 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 09 $58 +$7 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $129 −$68 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $92 +$40 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 09 $70 +$19 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 08 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $129 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 08 $34 −$25 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 07 $47 −$45 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 07 $84 −$4 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 06 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 06 $26 −$25 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $17 +$9 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 06 $22 −$21 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $22 −$18 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 06 $54 +$33 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 06 $14 −$13 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 06 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 06 $53 −$51 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 03 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 03 $32 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$20 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,560
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $94 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $94 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $85 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $114 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $111 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $72 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $18 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $93 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $178 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $182 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $171 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $115 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 27¢ $15 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -53.6% -58.0% 22% 22% -42.5%
≤30d 96 -34.5% -40.7% 29% 28% -39.7%
≤90d 229 -20.5% -28.0% 34% 29% -30.7%
all 229 -20.5% -28.0% 34% 29% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.0% 29% -30.7%
10% -34.9% 25% -37.3%
15% -41.2% 22% -43.4%
20% -47.0% 17% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 614 history records