Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:38:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00db…3bb6
crypto · 1089 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$872 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$869 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$16
Realized+$869
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses333 / 795
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1128 / 1089
History coverage33d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day100.2
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,409
7 days−$1,421
14 days−$1,421
30 days+$1,042
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 15¢ 18¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+24%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 10¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 24¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 25¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 11¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 12¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 32¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 11¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 39¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 21¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 15¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 12¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 21¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 30¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET Down 24¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 21¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -77%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$56 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 10PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 12AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $133 −$133 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,965
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $65 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $11 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $16 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $16 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-27.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 362 -65.7% -69.0% 13% 11% -35.0%
≤30d 1083 -19.3% -27.0% 30% 27% -4.4%
≤90d 1128 -20.3% -27.9% 30% 27% -5.5%
all 1128 -20.3% -27.9% 30% 27% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.9% 27% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -34.8% 25% -14.5%
15% -41.1% 22% -22.8%
20% -46.8% 19% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.13 · official $18.75 · 3500 history records