Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:23:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00db…31ec
crypto · 932 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$326 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$331 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$86
Realized−$331
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses372 / 534
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions26
Markets (closed)906 / 932
History coverage82d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day32.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 26 History 906 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$268
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 65¢ 69¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+7%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+138%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? No 94¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 95¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June? No 95¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? No 84¢ 96¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June? No 74¢ 94¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+26%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 37¢ 84¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+126%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No 96¢ 83¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? No 93¢ 82¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+13%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Under 67¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+7%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 61¢ 68¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+11%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Over 58¢ 66¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 55¢ 57¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? No 81¢ 50¢ $4 $3 −$2 (-38%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 43¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Yes 32¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? Yes 21¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-36%)
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? Yes 19¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-41%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ 6¢ $3 $0 −$2 (-89%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $13 +$7 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 +$8 +62%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $12 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +114%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$13 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $8 −$3 -40%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $1 +$4 +388%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $4 +$6 +152%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$4 +70%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 +$4 +55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $6 +$4 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $6 +$4 +57%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 +$2 +21%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 $0 -7%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$241
sports 12% −$90
other 2% +$1
finance 1% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Over 58¢ $3 22m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 43¢ $2 31m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 67¢ $3 32m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $3 32m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $3 44m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $2 54m
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 61¢ $3 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 52¢ $3 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $2 9h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 8¢ $0 9h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $13 21h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $12 22h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $12 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 30¢ $6 22h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 61¢ $12 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $14 33h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $5 33h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 29¢ $6 34h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $12 34h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $9 34h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 83¢ $8 37h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Benjamin Bonzi 23¢ $1 38h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 83¢ $4 40h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $7 40h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $6 43h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 21¢ $1 43h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 22¢ $1 43h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 12¢ $1 44h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? BUY Yes 9¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 206 -7.4% -16.3% 43% 28% -15.2%
≤30d 685 -9.5% -18.1% 41% 34% -17.1%
≤90d 906 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 33% -13.5%
all 906 -8.0% -16.7% 41% 33% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 33% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 30% -21.8%
15% -32.0% 28% -29.3%
20% -38.6% 26% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $85.68 · official $85.68 (match) · 3500 history records