Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:29:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00d9…764a
other · 5 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$31 +40%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses3 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)4 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 1 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $37 +$4 +11%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 -1%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $24 +$13 +53%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $9 +$14 +155%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% +$31
sports 7% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 28m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $41 30m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $6 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 43¢ $6 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 42¢ $6 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $31 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 72¢ $37 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $24 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $24 23h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $9 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+39.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +54.4% +39.7% 75% 75% +27.4%
≤30d 4 +54.4% +39.7% 75% 75% +27.4%
≤90d 4 +54.4% +39.7% 75% 75% +27.4%
all 4 +54.4% +39.7% 75% 75% +27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +39.7% 75% +27.4%
10% +26.4% 50% +15.2%
15% +14.2% 50% +4.1%
20% +3.0% 50% -6.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.50 · official $1.93 (match) · 10 history records