Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00d9…0b99
sports · 37 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$58 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open −$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized−$21
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses13 / 21
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions3
Markets (closed)34 / 37
History coverage3d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$43
14 days−$43
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+60%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 25¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 35¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 12¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 27¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Team WE 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Forsaken $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 28¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 28¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 37¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Eintracht Spandau $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 81¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 22¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Misa Esports 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B PCIFIC 53¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 20¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue 32¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $11 −$5 -42%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $6 +$1 +20%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$2 -49%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$1 -16%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -50%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $4 $0 -3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $4 −$2 -51%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $11 −$8 -71%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$10 +57%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $7 −$6 -78%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$15 -93%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 +$1 +29%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 +$1 +23%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $4 −$1 -33%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +127%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $33 −$5 -14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $34 $0 +1%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $16 15m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 62¢ $10 35m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Cloud9 40¢ $16 36m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 36¢ $5 41m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Cloud9 38¢ $10 42m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 $1 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 $1 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Liquid 76¢ $23 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 45¢ $5 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 53¢ $10 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 $2 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 12¢ $2 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 46¢ $5 2h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 58¢ $10 2h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 15¢ $1 4h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 11¢ $1 4h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 39¢ $3 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau $1 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 37¢ $1 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 18¢ $1 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 48¢ $5 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL UCAM Esports Club 82¢ $2 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner SELL Solary 30¢ $2 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY Solary 57¢ $4 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 74¢ $0 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner SELL Misa Esports $0 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 37¢ $1 5h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner SELL Karmine Corp Blue 65¢ $5 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner BUY Misa Esports 25¢ $1 5h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winner SELL Galions 72¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-35.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -28.1% -35.0% 38% 35% -28.7%
≤30d 34 -28.1% -35.0% 38% 35% -28.7%
≤90d 34 -28.1% -35.0% 38% 35% -28.7%
all 34 -28.1% -35.0% 38% 35% -28.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -35.0% 35% -28.7%
10% ← realistic here -41.2% 32% -35.5%
15% -46.9% 18% -41.7%
20% -52.1% 9% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $0.06 (match) · 135 history records