Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00d4…3275
crypto · 267 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses259 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)267 / 267
History coverage62d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 267 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$16
14 days+$7
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $16 $16 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? Jun 11 $49 +$3 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $16 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $14 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 08 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 08 $46 +$4 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 07 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 07 $16 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $30 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $29 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET Jun 04 $50 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $16 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$15
finance 10% −$12
other 9% −$63
tech 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 19h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 38h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 38h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on June 11? BUY No 95¢ $49 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 4d
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 0% -7.4%
≤30d 108 -0.9% -10.3% 97% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 267 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 0% -10.7%
all 267 -0.7% -10.2% 97% 0% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.2% 0% -10.7%
10% -18.8% 0% -19.2%
15% -26.6% 0% -27.0%
20% -33.8% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.44 · official $32.00 (match) · 1458 history records