trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Magic | 10¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 17¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Knicks | 18¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Spurs vs. Warriors | Warriors | 12¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 19¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Suns vs. Bucks | Bucks | 15¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 19¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Clippers | Raptors | 16¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Rockets | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Wizards vs. Jazz | Jazz | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 36¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Shanxi Loongs vs. Zhejiang Lions | Zhejiang Lions | 27¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Clippers | 24¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Rockets | 49¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $0 | −$12 (-100%) |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5 | Under | 27¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Pistons | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | 76ers | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | JD Gaming | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Clippers | 27¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Spurs | 13¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 8¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Fujian Sturgeons vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards | Fujian Sturgeons | 31¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$9 | +29% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $3 | +$11 | +344% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | Jun 11 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 06 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 | Jun 06 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 30 | $10 | +$9 | +93% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 | May 23 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5 | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $4 | +$19 | +454% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -91% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5 | May 19 | $5 | +$4 | +85% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $1 | +$3 | +331% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 12 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $18 | +$25 | +135% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $5 | −$2 | -44% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $3 | +$3 | +81% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 04 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $7 | +$14 | +191% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $5 | +$1 | +26% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $11 | +$10 | +85% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $100 | −$97 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 29 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Apr 28 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $3 | +$5 | +180% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 24 | $8 | +$1 | +12% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 24 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | Apr 24 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +96.8% | +78.1% | 83% | 83% | +42.8% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +23.1% | +11.4% | 46% | 42% | +19.5% |
| ≤90d | 208 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 31% | 29% | -37.6% |
| all | 274 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 34% | 31% | -19.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.3% | 31% | -19.2% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 29% | -26.9% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 24% | -34.0% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 21% | -40.5% |