Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:55:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00d2…fe64
sports · 1070 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,540 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,632 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$158
Realized−$1,632
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses373 / 695
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Est. fees paid−$337
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1068 / 1070
History coverage82d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day33.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 8 History 1068 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days−$164
14 days−$324
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 50¢ 62¢ $52 $64 +$12 (+23%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs FUT Esports 38¢ 34¢ $59 $54 −$5 (-9%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ 46¢ $18 $17 −$2 (-8%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 14¢ 16¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+11%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Derrick Lewis 21¢ 22¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? No 3¢ 6¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+81%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Washington Mystics 43¢ 16¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-64%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier Saigon Warriors 7¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season Dynasty 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns (W) Texas Longhorns 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 T1 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B G2 NORD 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Muller Alexandre Muller 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+113%)
Rockets vs. Bulls Bulls 21¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+376%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Enterprise Esports (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs NAVI Junior 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Liam Broady 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) Club Atlético de Madrid 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Valorant: ROSE vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage ROSE 33¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
76ers vs. Wizards Wizards 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni Mert Naci Turker 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner Sebastian Ofner 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns (W) Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Rockets vs. Bulls Jun 14 $0 $0 +376%
Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 14 $0 −$1 -248%
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks vs. Eastern Washington Eagles (W) Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier B: Mexico vs Cayman Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Kings vs. Rockets Jun 14 $0 −$1 -719%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $2 +$3 +119%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $9 $0 -2%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $48 +$46 +97%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 11 $16 −$16 -98%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 11 $19 −$19 -99%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 11 $79 −$77 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $2 +$3 +226%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $38 −$2 -6%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $19 −$19 -98%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 11 $13 −$13 -99%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $27 +$25 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $13 +$14 +109%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $13 +$55 +438%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $4 +$7 +197%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $11 −$11 -98%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 10 $8 −$8 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 09 $11 −$11 -99%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $16 +$4 +29%
Cattolica: Miguel Tobon vs Alexander Vasilev Jun 09 $22 +$29 +129%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 09 $28 −$27 -98%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 09 $3 −$3 -98%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Bax Jun 09 $9 −$1 -11%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $25 −$25 -98%
Lyon: Luca Staeheli vs Felix Balshaw Jun 09 $11 −$9 -77%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Mast Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $3 $0 +14%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 09 $13 −$7 -54%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $20 +$27 +134%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss S Jun 08 $6 +$2 +41%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Ilkley: Kyrian Jacquet vs Toby Samuel Jun 08 $26 −$25 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$1,749
other 11% +$147
culture 1% −$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $20 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $20 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 38¢ $20 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY UCAM Esports Club 14¢ $7 3h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY Saigon Warriors 7¢ $1 6h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ $9 13h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 39¢ $9 13h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 25¢ $9 13h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Adrian Mannarino 21¢ $3 21h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Tampa Bay Rays 50¢ $19 25h
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? BUY No 3¢ $2 28h
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Derrick Lewis 21¢ $6 28h
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? SELL No 3¢ $1 29h
Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week? BUY No 3¢ $2 29h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY Washington Mystics 43¢ $5 33h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 21¢ $11 34h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 50¢ $24 36h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 50¢ $24 36h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 45¢ $2 47h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 9¢ $5 2d
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Petr Brunclik 49¢ $16 2d
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 51¢ $13 2d
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 50¢ $26 2d
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 50¢ $26 2d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOUD 40¢ $21 2d
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 47¢ $26 2d
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 78¢ $36 2d
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Partizan Sangal 77¢ $4 2d
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 83¢ $11 2d
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 51¢ $6 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -22.5% -29.9% 30% 28% -30.7%
≤30d 261 -20.7% -28.2% 35% 34% -11.0%
≤90d 1068 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 33% -15.1%
all 1068 -10.8% -19.3% 35% 33% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 33% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 30% -23.2%
15% -34.0% 26% -30.6%
20% -40.5% 23% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $158.03 · official $154.41 · 3500 history records