Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:43:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00c8…9ccd
crypto · 967 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,703 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$14,931 · open −$1,880
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,802
Realized−$14,931
Unrealized−$1,880
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses194 / 554
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$1,293
Open positions167
Markets (closed)748 / 967
History coverage56d
Avg bet$135
Trades / day56.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 167 History 748 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$761
7 days+$147
14 days−$11,888
30 days−$11,726
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Yes 43¢ 100¢ $617 $1,445 +$829 (+134%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 23¢ 16¢ $1,500 $1,097 −$403 (-27%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Yes 69¢ 100¢ $536 $776 +$240 (+45%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 35¢ 60¢ $427 $740 +$312 (+73%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 51¢ 50¢ $700 $686 −$14 (-2%)
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? Yes 87¢ 100¢ $400 $460 +$60 (+15%)
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election? No 44¢ 100¢ $200 $450 +$250 (+125%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $347 $365 +$18 (+5%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? Yes 73¢ 100¢ $245 $336 +$91 (+37%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 45¢ 50¢ $283 $313 +$30 (+11%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026? No 90¢ 100¢ $263 $292 +$29 (+11%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $495 $277 −$218 (-44%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 62¢ 81¢ $205 $269 +$64 (+31%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $254 $262 +$9 (+3%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $245 $246 +$1 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 6¢ 2¢ $618 $245 −$373 (-60%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $192 $188 −$4 (-2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $156 $147 −$9 (-6%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $127 $129 +$2 (+2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $113 $112 −$1 (-1%)
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June? No 91¢ 99¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 11¢ 10¢ $124 $107 −$17 (-14%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 51¢ 19¢ $285 $106 −$179 (-63%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 94¢ 99¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $104 $105 +$1 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Jun 12 $21 −$8 -39%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,098 +$1,162 +106%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $12 +$10 +89%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $338 −$175 -52%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $95 −$84 -88%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2,294 −$3 -0%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $94 −$92 -97%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $51 +$74 +145%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $191 +$205 +107%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $459 +$832 +181%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $128 −$125 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $21 −$18 -89%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $1,085 +$52 +5%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? Jun 11 $16 +$7 +41%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 11 $4 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $13 −$11 -82%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$4 -77%
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin Jun 11 $9 +$4 +40%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 11 $51 −$2 -5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $6 −$4 -65%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,039 −$2,473 -121%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 11 $15 −$5 -31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $21 −$20 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $41 −$40 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $31 +$94 +307%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -94%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $4 +$1 +37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $17 −$13 -77%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $40 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $89 −$78 -88%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5) Jun 10 $42 −$41 -98%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $915 +$1,024 +112%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $5 −$1 -13%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $41 +$33 +79%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $5,064 −$40 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% +$3,687
other 17% −$8,140
crypto 12% −$9,562
world 11% −$197
tech 2% −$879
politics 2% −$875
finance 1% −$670
economics 0% −$115
weather 0% −$58
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 12m
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 13m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $20 51m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 59m
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 68¢ $6 1h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? BUY Yes 24¢ $4 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY No 87¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? SELL Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $92 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 74¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? SELL Yes 10¢ $7 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $246 2h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY No 26¢ $113 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 2h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY No 11¢ $129 2h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 2h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 2h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2h
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 2h
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $10 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $129 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $61 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 3h
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? BUY No 0¢ $8 3h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee BUY Yes 0¢ $9 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 118 -10.1% -18.7% 38% 32% -4.3%
≤30d 494 -5.4% -14.4% 32% 28% -21.4%
≤90d 748 -14.0% -22.2% 26% 22% -22.7%
all 748 -14.0% -22.2% 26% 22% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 22% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.7% 20% -30.1%
15% -36.5% 18% -36.8%
20% -42.7% 15% -43.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,802.11 · official $11,799.93 (match) · 3375 history records