trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -13.8% | -22.0% | 50% | 50% | -22.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +32.9% | +20.2% | 70% | 70% | +5.9% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 48% | 48% | -29.3% |
| all | 371 | -5.8% | -14.8% | 45% | 44% | -18.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 44% | -18.9% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 41% | -26.7% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 37% | -33.8% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 33% | -40.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 65¢ | 64¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $4 | +$3 (+316%) |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 46¢ | 88¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+90%) |
| Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 82¢ | 92¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+12%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87¢ | 93¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 90¢ | 89¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 42¢ | 42¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 55¢ | 52¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 19¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +72% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 06 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the | Jun 06 | $6 | −$5 | -81% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 22 | $1 | $0 | -49% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 17 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers | May 17 | $1 | +$1 | +67% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $1 | +$1 | +69% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | May 17 | $1 | +$1 | +114% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays | May 17 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 | May 09 | $7 | −$7 | -99% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo | May 08 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Rangers | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Avalanche | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Apr 14 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $1 | +$2 | +186% |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Mar 25 | $1 | $0 | +47% |
| Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice H | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Big Game: Coin Toss | Mar 01 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Mar 01 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Mar 01 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Oly | Mar 01 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Mar 01 | $1 | +$1 | +89% |
| Sharks vs. Flames | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Wild vs. Canadiens | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Utah | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Red Wings | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Lightning | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Feb 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | Feb 05 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Avalanche vs. Red Wings | Feb 05 | $1 | +$1 | +79% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Jets | Jan 22 | $1 | +$1 | +92% |
| Predators vs. Avalanche | Jan 22 | $1 | +$3 | +257% |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flyers vs. Penguins | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Blue Jackets | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Sharks | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Devils | Jan 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Flames vs. Penguins | Jan 16 | $1 | +$1 | +138% |
| Stars vs. Sharks | Jan 16 | $1 | +$1 | +144% |
| Sharks vs. Capitals | Jan 16 | $1 | +$2 | +150% |
| Capitals vs. Blackhawks | Jan 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Sabres | Jan 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |