Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:35:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00c5…b5e9
sports · 173 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$87 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Net worth$40
Realized−$79
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses90 / 78
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions5
Markets (closed)168 / 173
History coverage134d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$87
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 63¢ 81¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+29%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Nicolas Kicker 67¢ 66¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Federico Cina 52¢ 50¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 40¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 61¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: England (-2.5) Costa Rica 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Taylah Preston 53¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Zsombor Piros 66¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Anastasia Potapova 64¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Dali Blanch 62¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 67¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 43¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Christopher OConnell 54¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 70¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 49¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Dominika Salkova 55¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Greet Minnen 57¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Daniel Rincon 42¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Under 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $25 +$31 +124%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $24 +$14 +57%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $23 +$7 +32%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $14 +$9 +62%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9 +$12 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $13 +$9 +65%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $13 +$7 +50%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $64 +$16 +26%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $5 +$7 +134%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $5 +$5 +101%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $5 +$7 +134%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $22 −$22 -99%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $10 +$15 +146%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $5 +$2 +34%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 +$3 +65%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $5 +$6 +124%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $5 +$5 +109%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $5 +$2 +49%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $5 +$3 +67%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $5 +$2 +34%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Lukas Pokorny Jun 10 $5 +$2 +36%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $6 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 67¢ $11 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $25 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 63¢ $24 4h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 52¢ $11 5h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Darwin Blanch 43¢ $8 6h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Mark Lajal 42¢ $10 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ $11 6h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 63¢ $10 7h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 51¢ $7 17h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 52¢ $5 17h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 66¢ $6 25h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $14 25h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 61¢ $8 27h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $9 28h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $22 28h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $64 28h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $23 29h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 66¢ $13 29h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 49¢ $5 29h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 60¢ $13 30h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $5 31h
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY Dali Blanch 62¢ $5 32h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $4 42h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $1 42h
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher BUY Lucia Bronzetti 49¢ $5 45h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 71¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 42¢ $5 2d
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Dominika Salkova 55¢ $5 2d
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Barbora Krejcikova 79¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -7.8% -16.5% 52% 52% -14.2%
≤30d 73 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 53% -11.0%
≤90d 80 -11.9% -20.3% 50% 50% -17.2%
all 168 -6.4% -15.3% 54% 53% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.3% 53% -14.8%
10% -23.4% 52% -22.9%
15% -30.8% 40% -30.4%
20% -37.6% 26% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.66 · official $39.67 (match) · 318 history records