Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00c4…879e
crypto · 54 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$219 +18%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$219 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$95
Realized+$219
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses25 / 21
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions8
Markets (closed)46 / 54
History coverage83d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 8 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$154
14 days+$167
30 days+$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+14%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 22¢ 34¢ $20 $30 +$10 (+52%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia? Yes 14¢ 8¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-40%)
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia? Yes 12¢ 7¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-42%)
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-43%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 32¢ 34¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-44%)
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Lynn Vision 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $86 +$11 +13%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $51 +$30 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $205 +$11 +5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $21 +$42 +197%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $74 +$40 +55%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $36 +$25 +67%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $100 +$11 +11%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $102 +$23 +23%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $74 +$28 +38%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? May 18 $18 −$18 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 17 $74 +$44 +60%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 16 $50 +$23 +46%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs May 15 $35 +$16 +46%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Apr 01 $5 −$3 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Mar 25 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Mar 25 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Mar 25 $10 +$5 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Mar 25 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Mar 24 $5 −$3 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Mar 24 $16 −$2 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Mar 24 $2 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Mar 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 24 $5 +$4 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Mar 24 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Mar 23 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Mar 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Mar 23 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Mar 23 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Mar 23 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Mar 23 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Mar 23 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Mar 23 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Mar 23 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Mar 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Mar 23 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Mar 23 $1 +$1 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% +$265
other 12% −$43
crypto 10% −$2
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Croatia? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $86 24h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $51 24h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $20 24h
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 0 Uruguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $10 25h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 33¢ $21 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $90 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 86¢ $112 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $114 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $74 3d
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $31 3d
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Türkiye? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 3d
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 3d
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S BUY KOLESIE 59¢ $36 4d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 90¢ $100 6d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Spirit 81¢ $102 7d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Spirit 72¢ $74 8d
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 8d
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Lynn Vision 39¢ $10 8d
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22? BUY Yes 37¢ $18 26d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs SELL Spirit 99¢ $118 27d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs BUY Spirit 61¢ $74 28d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs SELL Spirit 100¢ $73 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -5.3% -14.4% 62% 54% +9.9%
≤30d 20 -9.0% -17.7% 60% 55% +11.8%
≤90d 46 -8.6% -17.3% 54% 48% +8.2%
all 46 -8.6% -17.3% 54% 48% +8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 48% +8.2%
10% -25.2% 41% -2.1%
15% -32.4% 37% -11.6%
20% -39.0% 26% -20.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.28 · official $95.28 (match) · 105 history records