trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +26.7% | +14.7% | 52% | 52% | +24.4% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +26.7% | +14.7% | 52% | 52% | +24.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +35.3% | +22.4% | 54% | 54% | +33.1% |
| all | 24 | +35.3% | +22.4% | 54% | 54% | +33.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +22.4% | 54% | +33.1% |
| 10% | +10.7% | 54% | +20.4% |
| 15% | +0.0% | 54% | +8.8% |
| 20% | -9.8% | 46% | -1.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 94¢ | $20 | $70 | +$50 (+250%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 6¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $1 | −$2 (-75%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $10 | +$23 | +230% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) AND Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 26 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Cody Gakpo: 1+ goals | Jun 25 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $17 | −$17 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $15 | −$4 | -29% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on | Jun 25 | $15 | +$25 | +162% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $25 | +$30 | +120% |
| Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals AND Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score AN | Jun 25 | $10 | +$24 | +232% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | +$15 | +146% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? AND Bosnia-Herzegovina | Jun 24 | $25 | +$13 | +50% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5 AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $30 | +$17 | +56% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Por | Jun 23 | $26 | +$60 | +233% |
| France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Alger | Jun 23 | $35 | +$31 | +87% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $30 | +$26 | +86% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Apr 22 | $22 | +$52 | +233% |