trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 7 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 29% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 28 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 61% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.2% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -19.7% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.6% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $40 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $12 | −$1 | -10% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $28 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 24 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cristian Popescu Piedone be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Jul 15 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 07 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canad | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Apr 12 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 28 | $3 | $0 | -12% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Mar 27 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28? | Mar 23 | $1 | −$1 | -52% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 22 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump post less than 80 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Black Bag' gross more than 7m on opening weekend? | Mar 18 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14? | Mar 13 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 56°F or below on March 11? | Mar 12 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16? | Mar 10 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 10 | $27 | $0 | +0% |