Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x00ab…76ca
crypto · 776 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,179 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$613 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$613
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses426 / 350
Open positions0
Markets (closed)776 / 776
History coverage29d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day117.8
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 776 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$184
7 days+$235
14 days+$440
30 days+$613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$6 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$38 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$12 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$5 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $69 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$5 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$7 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$1 -11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$613
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $15 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $17 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $8 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $53 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $4 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $18 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 +5.6% -4.5% 61% 47% -4.6%
≤30d 776 +3.2% -6.6% 55% 42% -6.2%
≤90d 776 +3.2% -6.6% 55% 42% -6.2%
all 776 +3.2% -6.6% 55% 42% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 42% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -15.6% 19% -15.2%
15% -23.7% 6% -23.4%
20% -31.2% 2% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records