trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 11% | 11% | -29.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 11% | 11% | -29.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 11% | 11% | -29.3% |
| all | 9 | -36.3% | -42.3% | 11% | 11% | -29.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -42.3% | 11% | -29.3% |
| 10% | -47.8% | 11% | -36.1% |
| 15% | -52.9% | 0% | -42.3% |
| 20% | -57.5% | 0% | -47.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 62¢ | 62¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 49¢ | 36¢ | $50 | $36 | −$14 (-28%) |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $53 | −$47 | -90% |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Jun 15 | $537 | −$91 | -17% |
| Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup? | Jun 15 | $53 | −$7 | -13% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $16 | −$2 | -12% |