trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +36.7% | +23.7% | 43% | 39% | -5.0% |
| ≤30d | 23 | +36.7% | +23.7% | 43% | 39% | -5.0% |
| ≤90d | 23 | +36.7% | +23.7% | 43% | 39% | -5.0% |
| all | 26 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 42% | 38% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +17.4% | 38% | -6.8% |
| 10% | +6.2% | 38% | -15.7% |
| 15% | -4.1% | 35% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -13.5% | 31% | -31.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $23 | $23 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 82¢ | 81¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$31 | +307% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $6 | +$20 | +325% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$5 | +93% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$13 | +262% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +60% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$6 | +596% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +105% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | +$2 | +42% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday? | Dec 06 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Man City win on 2024-10-20? | Oct 22 | $3 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Oct 19 | $1 | $0 | -2% |