Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:23:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x00a1…5be5 crypto 90 markets active 5d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$13 (+3%) realized +$13 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate52%47W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day57.0pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$3
other 2% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -16.6% -24.6% 46% 40% -21.2%
≤30d 90 -4.1% -13.2% 52% 44% -10.7%
≤90d 90 -4.1% -13.2% 52% 44% -10.7%
all 90 -4.1% -13.2% 52% 44% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.2% 44% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.5% 37% -19.2%
15% -29.1% 29% -27.0%
20% -36.1% 21% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 34% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.88 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses47 / 43
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage3d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day57.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 90 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$13 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$14 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $5 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 195 history records