Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:55:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x009d…86a6
crypto · 376 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses185 / 177
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions11
Markets (closed)362 / 376
History coverage60d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day15.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 11 History 362 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days−$26
14 days−$17
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $20 +$5 (+35%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-12%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-13%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-34%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 34¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 41¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Under 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmez Katie Volynets 55¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Marina Bassols Ribera 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +194%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +252%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 Jun 13 $10 +$17 +163%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -84%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +63%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$7 +71%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$13 +132%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 11 $8 +$5 +69%
Netherlands vs. Poland: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -10%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
England vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $35 +$10 +29%
Netherlands vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -91%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$2 -71%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$11
other 18% +$31
sports 11% −$37
world 2% +$8
politics 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 46m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 49m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 50m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -7.0% -15.9% 49% 42% -13.7%
≤30d 159 -7.4% -16.3% 49% 43% -12.9%
≤90d 362 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -10.1%
all 362 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.2% 46% -10.1%
10% -22.4% 40% -18.7%
15% -29.9% 30% -26.5%
20% -36.8% 25% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.94 · official $113.94 · 1132 history records