trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 48¢ | 48¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 34¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $1 | +$1 | +99% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5? | Jun 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -23.8% | -31.0% | 29% | 29% | -29.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -17.5% | -25.3% | 33% | 33% | -30.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -17.5% | -25.3% | 33% | 33% | -30.1% |
| all | 12 | -17.5% | -25.3% | 33% | 33% | -30.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -25.3% | 33% | -30.1% |
| 10% | -32.5% | 25% | -36.8% |
| 15% | -39.0% | 25% | -42.9% |
| 20% | -45.0% | 17% | -48.5% |