Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:51:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0096…0d85
crypto · 1232 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$544 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$718 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$718
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses622 / 610
Est. fees paid−$15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1232 / 1232
History coverage109d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 1232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$350
14 days−$269
30 days−$332
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Will "How to Make a Killing" score at least 56 on the Rotten Tomatoes Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$7 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 09 $29 −$23 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 09 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$665
sports 7% −$41
other 1% −$2
culture 0% −$7
finance 0% −$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -45.7% -50.9% 29% 26% -55.9%
≤30d 140 -25.3% -32.4% 41% 39% -28.7%
≤90d 674 -9.1% -17.7% 46% 43% -18.9%
all 1232 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 46% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 46% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 41% -22.8%
15% -30.1% 35% -30.3%
20% -37.0% 28% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records