Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:13:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0095…cdb2
sports · 238 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$191 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$194 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$908
Realized−$194
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses109 / 59
Est. fees paid−$43
Open positions70
Markets (closed)168 / 238
History coverage10d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day71.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 70 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days−$585
14 days−$194
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Ilia Topuria 81¢ 80¢ $80 $80 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $76 $75 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $65 $65 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? No 94¢ 98¢ $39 $41 +$2 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $41 $41 +$0 (+0%)
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? No 81¢ 79¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? No 98¢ 100¢ $36 $37 +$1 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? No 99¢ 97¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 82¢ 84¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? No 96¢ 95¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 13? No 97¢ 100¢ $17 $18 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $17 $17 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or higher on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $17 $17 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+0%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 89¢ 96¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? No 94¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? No 93¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 13? No 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $19 +$2 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $24 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $12 +$1 +11%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $27 +$3 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $25 +$4 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $37 +$3 +8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$1 +6%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $35 +$6 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $23 $0 +0%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $19 +$3 +17%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $10 −$7 -71%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $80 +$9 +11%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $90 +$32 +35%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $67 +$36 +54%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $55 +$15 +27%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $38 +$8 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 −$2 -46%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Nicolas Garcia Longo vs Stefan Adrian Andreescu Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21 +$17 +78%
ITF Nice: Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $33 +$3 +8%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $27 +$28 +103%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$7 +57%
Set 1 Winner: Morvayova vs Fouad Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 11 $22 +$1 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $80 −$80 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Jun 11 $12 +$7 +55%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$172
weather 14% +$4
other 8% −$15
crypto 2% +$6
world 1% −$13
culture 1% −$1
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 92¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? BUY No 93¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 91¢ $9 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 82¢ $21 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13? BUY No 96¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 13? BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -17.5% -25.4% 59% 36% -27.9%
≤30d 168 -5.8% -14.8% 65% 42% -14.3%
≤90d 168 -5.8% -14.8% 65% 42% -14.3%
all 168 -5.8% -14.8% 65% 42% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover71.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 42% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 33% -22.5%
15% -30.4% 27% -30.0%
20% -37.2% 20% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $907.91 · official $907.86 (match) · 905 history records