Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:34:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0091…3223
other · 4 markets active 0h ago
5.5score
+$224 +57%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$223 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$100
Realized+$223
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$99
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 1 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$201
7 days+$223
14 days+$223
30 days+$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $101 $100 −$1 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$190 +1843%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 97% +$32
sports 3% +$190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 27m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes $10 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $51 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $11 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $111 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $100 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $31 35h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 59¢ $131 35h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $72 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $72 2d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $60 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+562.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +632.4% +562.7% 100% 100% +115.6%
≤30d 3 +632.4% +562.7% 100% 100% +115.6%
≤90d 3 +632.4% +562.7% 100% 100% +115.6%
all 3 +632.4% +562.7% 100% 100% +115.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +562.7% 100% +115.6%
10% +499.3% 67% +95.0%
15% +441.4% 67% +76.2%
20% +388.3% 33% +58.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $99.63 · official $99.63 (match) · 13 history records