Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T07:29:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x008b…7dc7 crypto 175 markets active 1h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$72 (-2%) realized −$72 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate67%117W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day139.2pace
Fees−$6est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$154
sports 12% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 175 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 16% -13.2%
≤30d 175 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 16% -13.2%
≤90d 175 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 16% -13.2%
all 175 -5.6% -14.6% 67% 16% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 16% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 6% -21.5%
15% -30.2% 3% -29.1%
20% -37.1% 2% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
74% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses117 / 58
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage5d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day139.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 175 Trades
no open positions (12 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -8%
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Jun 16 $1 +$2 +236%
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Jun 16 $1 +$1 +146%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfi Jun 15 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $24 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$10 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$90 -49%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$17 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $6 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 781 history records