trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | +19.4% | +8.0% | 52% | 52% | +17.0% |
| ≤30d | 32 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 50% | 50% | +117.2% |
| ≤90d | 32 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 50% | 50% | +117.2% |
| all | 32 | +15.2% | +4.2% | 50% | 50% | +117.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +4.2% | 50% | +117.2% |
| 10% | -5.8% | 47% | +96.4% |
| 15% | -14.9% | 47% | +77.4% |
| 20% | -23.2% | 34% | +60.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 15¢ | $32,067 | $14,934 | −$17,133 (-53%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 73¢ | 98¢ | $7,138 | $9,589 | +$2,452 (+34%) |
| Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 26¢ | 27¢ | $501 | $522 | +$21 (+4%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+? | Yes | 15¢ | 1¢ | $300 | $26 | −$274 (-91%) |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%? | Yes | 18¢ | 1¢ | $354 | $20 | −$334 (-94%) |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 60¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | No | 19¢ | 18¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | No | 10¢ | 10¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $5 | +$31 | +596% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$15 | +152% |
| Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$16 | +105% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $4 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | +$8 | +162% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $8 | +$3 | +36% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$3 | -66% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $40 | +$19 | +48% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$3 | +55% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $46 | −$29 | -64% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $19 | +$32 | +166% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$8 | +41% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 09 | $418 | +$1,007 | +241% |