Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:51:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0x0082…92b2
crypto · 12 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$6 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses10 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)12 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown40%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +32.5% +19.9% 83% 75% +13.6%
≤30d 12 +32.5% +19.9% 83% 75% +13.6%
≤90d 12 +32.5% +19.9% 83% 75% +13.6%
all 12 +32.5% +19.9% 83% 75% +13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +19.9% 75% +13.6%
10% +8.4% 50% +2.8%
15% -2.0% 50% -7.2%
20% -11.6% 50% -16.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 22 history records