Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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0x007b…c181
crypto · 437 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,850 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,870 · open +$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$4,870
Unrealized+$20
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses192 / 682
Open positions7
Markets (closed)874 / 437
History coverage9d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day372.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 7 History 874 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,871
7 days−$4,508
14 days−$4,870
30 days−$4,870
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Down 48¢ 100¢ $11 $23 +$12 (+109%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 37¢ 12¢ $56 $17 −$39 (-69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 78¢ 96¢ $14 $17 +$3 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 58¢ 88¢ $10 $16 +$5 (+52%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 70¢ 96¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+38%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 59¢ 44¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 65¢ 26¢ $4 $2 −$3 (-61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 89¢ 98¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+11%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 0¢ 56¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+204%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -101%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$35 -267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$16 -273%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -108%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $86 −$78 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$25 -425%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -102%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,037
culture 1% −$19
other 0% −$16
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $8 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-56.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 770 -60.0% -63.8% 19% 14% -33.3%
≤30d 874 -52.2% -56.8% 22% 17% -28.3%
≤90d 874 -52.2% -56.8% 22% 17% -28.3%
all 874 -52.2% -56.8% 22% 17% -28.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover372.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -56.8% 17% -28.3%
10% ← realistic here -60.9% 13% -35.1%
15% -64.7% 11% -41.4%
20% -68.2% 9% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $84.04 · official $106.83 · 3500 history records