Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x007b…1fd2
sports · 674 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$294 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open +$198
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$610
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$198
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses485 / 175
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions14
Markets (closed)660 / 674
History coverage183d
Avg bet$229
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 14 History 660 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$144
7 days−$15
14 days−$175
30 days−$169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 58¢ $43 $76 +$33 (+76%)
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 80¢ $50 $68 +$19 (+37%)
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 56¢ $34 $65 +$32 (+95%)
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 27¢ 55¢ $32 $63 +$31 (+99%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? No 51¢ 60¢ $50 $59 +$9 (+19%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 63¢ 83¢ $41 $54 +$13 (+33%)
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 56¢ $32 $52 +$20 (+62%)
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 26¢ 47¢ $25 $45 +$20 (+81%)
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 33¢ 48¢ $28 $41 +$13 (+47%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in Second Half No 64¢ 80¢ $25 $31 +$6 (+26%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 59¢ 55¢ $30 $27 −$2 (-8%)
United States vs. Australia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 75¢ 72¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 28¢ 54¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+93%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Under 34¢ 59¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+74%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $51 −$5 -10%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $47 −$9 -19%
Alexander Bublik vs. Taylor Fritz: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $24 +$20 +80%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Team to Take First Corner Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kan Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 −$1 -14%
Bu vs. Riedi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $51 −$2 -3%
Bu vs. Riedi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $51 −$2 -3%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $46 +$20 +44%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $35 −$35 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $50 −$50 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Maksimovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Jun 11 $14 +$51 +375%
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Mboko/Williams Jun 11 $59 −$1 -2%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $32 +$24 +76%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $21 −$21 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $12 +$21 +175%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $49 +$18 +37%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Lo Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Colo Jun 11 $37 +$43 +118%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $51 +$47 +93%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Kan Jun 11 $34 +$36 +105%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals v Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $57 −$57 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $58 −$17 -30%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $17 −$6 -36%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $102 +$241 +237%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $32 +$12 +38%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals Jun 10 $36 +$31 +86%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $42 +$15 +36%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $51 +$84 +165%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $53 −$31 -59%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $50 +$85 +170%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $51 +$55 +109%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. D Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals v Jun 09 $69 +$52 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% −$51
sports 7% +$232
tech 4% −$12
crypto 4% +$1
weather 3% +$18
culture 2% $0
politics 0% −$3
world 0% −$1
finance 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 51m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 51m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 54m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $38 54m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 54m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 57m
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 59¢ $0 7h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 12h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $10 12h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 13h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 14h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 14h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 14h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 14h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 101 -7.5% -16.3% 38% 29% -9.9%
≤30d 235 -8.8% -17.5% 46% 31% -11.5%
≤90d 367 -4.5% -13.6% 65% 21% -10.1%
all 660 -2.1% -11.4% 73% 12% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 12% -9.5%
10% -19.9% 11% -18.2%
15% -27.6% 10% -26.1%
20% -34.7% 8% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $610.07 · official $611.24 (match) · 2040 history records