Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0079…54d8
crypto · 297 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$7
Realized−$45
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses142 / 153
Open positions2
Markets (closed)295 / 297
Avg bet$63
Trades / day3148.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 295 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 32¢ 18¢ $3 $1 −$1 (-42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$23 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$3 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $79 −$18 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $85 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $196 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $106 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $76 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$12 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $43 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$22 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$9 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$6 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $15 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $7 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $13 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 295 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 15% -9.7%
≤30d 295 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 15% -9.7%
≤90d 295 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 15% -9.7%
all 295 +0.7% -8.9% 48% 15% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3148.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 15% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 6% -18.4%
15% -25.6% 5% -26.3%
20% -32.9% 3% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.48 · official $7.67 (match) · 3500 history records