Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T06:35:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x0074…4e34 crypto 142 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (145 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$21 (+1%) realized +$21 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate82%117W / 25L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day145.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$220
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (145 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 32% -18.1%
≤30d 142 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 32% -18.1%
≤90d 142 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 32% -18.1%
all 142 -4.9% -14.0% 82% 32% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover145.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 32% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 18% -25.9%
15% -29.7% 11% -33.1%
20% -36.6% 6% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$21 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses117 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)142 / 142
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day145.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 142 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$17 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$40 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 27 $52 +$46 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 27 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 27 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 27 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 27 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 27 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 27 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $51 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $50 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $51 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $51 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $52 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $52 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $51 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $50 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 262 history records