Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:16:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
00 0x0074…a0a9 crypto 1921 markets active 0h ago coverage 23d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL −$515 (-4%) realized −$515 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate62%1008W / 623L
Drawdown63%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day108.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$801
7 days−$262
14 days+$837
30 days+$791
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,124
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 639 -4.1% -13.3% 45% 41% -14.7%
≤30d 1631 +10.7% +0.2% 62% 56% -2.8%
≤90d 1631 +10.7% +0.2% 62% 56% -2.8%
all 1631 +10.7% +0.2% 62% 56% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 56% -2.8%
10% ← realistic here -9.4% 43% -12.1%
15% -18.1% 34% -20.6%
20% -26.2% 27% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
9% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +11% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +16% → late +5% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.25 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$515
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1008 / 623
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1631 / 1921
History coverage23d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day108.7
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1631 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $16 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $12 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $16 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $17 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $14 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records