trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 50% | 50% | -5.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 60% | 40% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 60% | 40% | -8.7% |
| all | 5 | -14.1% | -22.3% | 60% | 40% | -8.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.3% | 40% | -8.7% |
| 10% | -29.7% | 40% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -36.5% | 0% | -25.4% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 83¢ | 80¢ | $2,198 | $2,105 | −$93 (-4%) |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | $395 | $418 | +$23 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $700 | −$182 | -26% |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $1,157 | +$264 | +23% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-3.5) | Jun 21 | $202 | +$55 | +27% |
| Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15? | Jun 19 | $554 | +$29 | +5% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 02 | $141 | −$141 | -100% |