Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:57:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
00 0x005e…67ff crypto 912 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d only
✗ bot/MM pace (123 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,802 (-12%) realized −$2,802 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate42%387W / 525L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day123.1pace
Fees−$5est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$263
7 days−$404
14 days−$383
30 days−$1,374
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,381
other 2% −$175
sports 1% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (123 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -8.9% -17.6% 38% 29% -18.5%
≤30d 912 -5.6% -14.6% 42% 31% -14.9%
≤90d 912 -5.6% -14.6% 42% 31% -14.9%
all 912 -5.6% -14.6% 42% 31% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover123.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 31% -14.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 27% -23.0%
15% -30.3% 24% -30.4%
20% -37.1% 20% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
25% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$11 · ×1.05 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,802
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses387 / 525
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)912 / 912
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day123.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 912 Trades
no open positions (255 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $12 −$11 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $113 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $142 +$8 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $142 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $207 −$207 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $171 +$18 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $199 −$69 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $136 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$10 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $20 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$3 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$3 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$3 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$6 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$8 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 −$3 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$13 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$3 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $32 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $14 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records