trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$1 | +335% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +78% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +17% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +55% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +40.9% | +27.4% | 67% | 67% | +43.8% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +40.9% | +27.4% | 67% | 67% | +43.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +40.9% | +27.4% | 67% | 67% | +43.8% |
| all | 9 | +40.9% | +27.4% | 67% | 67% | +43.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +27.4% | 67% | +43.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +15.2% | 56% | +30.0% |
| 15% | +4.1% | 56% | +17.5% |
| 20% | -6.1% | 56% | +6.0% |