Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0059…808a
weather · 448 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$143 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$142
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses188 / 245
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions15
Markets (closed)433 / 448
History coverage74d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 15 History 433 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$17
14 days+$46
30 days+$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Yes 24¢ 100¢ $4 $17 +$13 (+322%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 100¢ $2 $7 +$4 (+167%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Yes 39¢ 79¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+103%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Yes 45¢ 48¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 14? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14? Yes 48¢ 44¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? Yes 39¢ 5¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-87%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 4? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 3? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 31? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 31? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +66%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 −$2 -41%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$5 +157%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? Jun 13 $6 −$1 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? Jun 13 $6 −$3 -56%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15? Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -36%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$7 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$17 +244%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 11 $7 −$4 -53%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12? Jun 10 $7 −$3 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 10 $8 −$4 -52%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 12? Jun 10 $8 −$4 -50%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 10 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 −$2 -40%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11? Jun 10 $6 −$1 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 11? Jun 10 $7 −$1 -19%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $5 +$9 +185%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $4 +$9 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$7 +165%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 09 $10 −$3 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 11? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -15%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $4 +$15 +381%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 9? Jun 09 $5 +$5 +114%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11? Jun 09 $1 $0 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11? Jun 09 $1 $0 -22%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 11? Jun 09 $5 −$3 -63%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? Jun 09 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -13%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10? Jun 09 $5 −$1 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8? Jun 08 $4 +$6 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $4 +$9 +245%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 08 $4 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 9? Jun 07 $5 −$4 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 +$4 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $3 +$7 +245%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 62% −$70
crypto 27% −$40
politics 8% −$23
other 1% −$1
sports 1% −$1
world 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 31¢ $6 29m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? SELL Yes 11¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? SELL Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14? SELL Yes 44¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? SELL Yes 38¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 45¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 14? BUY Yes 32¢ $4 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? SELL Yes 33¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15? SELL Yes 35¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? SELL Yes 35¢ $3 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14? SELL Yes 24¢ $1 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 2¢ $0 3h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 10h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 10h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 15? BUY Yes 34¢ $6 10h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $6 10h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 16h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 16h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 19¢ $6 17h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $6 17h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14? BUY Yes 39¢ $4 27h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 28¢ $4 27h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 +8.5% -1.9% 35% 30% -2.3%
≤30d 125 +0.5% -9.1% 43% 41% -4.6%
≤90d 433 -9.1% -17.7% 43% 33% -16.9%
all 433 -9.1% -17.7% 43% 33% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.7% 33% -16.9%
10% -25.6% 21% -24.8%
15% -32.8% 17% -32.1%
20% -39.4% 13% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.01 · official $44.01 (match) · 968 history records