trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +138.8% | +116.0% | 50% | 50% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +138.8% | +116.0% | 50% | 50% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +120.4% | +99.4% | 46% | 46% | -18.4% |
| all | 24 | +88.3% | +70.4% | 29% | 29% | -40.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +70.4% | 29% | -40.5% |
| 10% | +54.1% | 29% | -46.2% |
| 15% | +39.2% | 29% | -51.4% |
| 20% | +25.6% | 29% | -56.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $71 | −$58 | -81% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $102 | −$60 | -60% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $372 | −$368 | -99% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $51 | +$60 | +118% |
| France vs. Senegal: Neither team to score first? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $41 | +$101 | +246% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? AND Will IR Iran vs. New | Jun 16 | $10 | +$127 | +1239% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$100 | +195% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $38 | +$80 | +211% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$76 | +150% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$8 | -53% |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3 | Apr 09 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Sep 15 | $89 | −$89 | -100% |
| Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Sep 15 | $92 | −$3 | -3% |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Sep 12 | $255 | −$103 | -40% |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Sep 01 | $189 | −$73 | -39% |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Aug 17 | $9 | +$112 | +1249% |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Aug 17 | $180 | −$30 | -17% |
| Taylor Swift announces new original album by September 7? | Aug 12 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots? | May 08 | $93 | −$88 | -95% |
| Will the next Pope require 11–14 ballots? | May 05 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope require 9–10 ballots? | May 05 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will the next Pope require 7–8 ballots? | May 05 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |