Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:33:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0036…6e56
crypto · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses13 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)23 / 23
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day17.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$4 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +74%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$8
other 7% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +3.6% -6.3% 57% 52% -17.7%
≤30d 23 +3.6% -6.3% 57% 52% -17.7%
≤90d 23 +3.6% -6.3% 57% 52% -17.7%
all 23 +3.6% -6.3% 57% 52% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.3% 52% -17.7%
10% -15.3% 52% -25.5%
15% -23.5% 43% -32.7%
20% -31.0% 39% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 46 history records