Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x002f…92f3
sports · 148 markets active 0h ago
9.5score
+$491 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,010 · open −$1,519
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$73,409
Realized+$2,010
Unrealized−$1,519
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses113 / 25
Est. fees paid−$209
Open positions10
Markets (closed)138 / 148
History coverage67d
Avg bet$628
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 10 History 138 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,270
7 days+$2,096
14 days+$1,926
30 days+$1,956
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 93¢ 92¢ $9,000 $8,959 −$41 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $9,000 $8,944 −$56 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 92¢ $9,000 $8,932 −$68 (-1%)
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 Under 94¢ 92¢ $9,000 $8,896 −$103 (-1%)
Shelbourne FC vs. Shamrock Rovers: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 90¢ $9,000 $8,746 −$254 (-3%)
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 88¢ $8,927 $8,550 −$377 (-4%)
FC Inter Turku vs. AC Oulu: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 88¢ $8,954 $8,520 −$435 (-5%)
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 Under 88¢ 86¢ $5,529 $5,451 −$78 (-1%)
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 90¢ $4,402 $4,291 −$111 (-3%)
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 Under 86¢ 86¢ $2,116 $2,119 +$4 (+0%)
Philippines vs. Myanmar: O/U 4.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Thespa Gunma: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Under 83¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-09? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1,303 +$110 +8%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,369 +$148 +11%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1,373 +$333 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1,369 +$131 +10%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $302 +$98 +32%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $301 +$23 +8%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $301 +$44 +14%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $301 +$52 +17%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $301 +$28 +9%
Will Portugal vs. Nigeria end in a draw? Jun 10 $301 +$56 +18%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $302 +$93 +31%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $301 +$32 +11%
Orebro SK vs. GIF Sundsvall: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $301 +$36 +12%
Will Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF end in a draw? Jun 10 $302 +$88 +29%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $301 +$56 +18%
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $302 +$69 +23%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $100 +$15 +14%
Will Turkiye win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$19 +18%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Will North Macedonia vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw? Jun 09 $100 +$10 +10%
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$4 +4%
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$7 +7%
Will Croatia vs. Bulgaria end in a draw? Jun 09 $100 +$13 +13%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 +$28 +27%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 +$21 +21%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Serbia vs. Denmark end in a draw? Jun 09 $100 +$15 +15%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$19 +18%
Will Latvia vs. Slovakia end in a draw? Jun 09 $101 +$22 +22%
Will Latvia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$12 +12%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 +$24 +24%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$7 +7%
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $100 +$5 +5%
Will Belarus win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$16 +16%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$11 +11%
US Yacoub El Mansour vs. COD Meknès: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $100 +$19 +19%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$7 +7%
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $101 +$22 +22%
Will Norway vs. Austria end in a draw? Jun 09 $101 +$24 +24%
Norway vs. Austria: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$15 +14%
Slovenia vs. Germany: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $100 +$5 +5%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$10 +10%
Armenia vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$13 +13%
Will Philippines vs. Myanmar end in a draw? Jun 09 $101 +$26 +26%
Will Indonesia vs. Mozambique end in a draw? Jun 09 $100 +$19 +18%
Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $100 +$10 +10%
China PR vs. Thailand: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $100 +$11 +11%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $101 −$100 -99%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $101 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% −$211
other 16% +$676
crypto 0% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $679 0m
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 85¢ $58 1m
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $116 7m
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $197 17m
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $52 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $83 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $191 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $363 1h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $85 1h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $85 1h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $197 2h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $53 2h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $1,152 2h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $73 2h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $549 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $2,148 3h
Derry City FC vs. Bohemians Dublin FC: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1,817 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $56 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $73 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $52 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 90¢ $64 3h
Vaasan Palloseura vs. Kuopion Palloseura: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1,796 3h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 89¢ $2,773 3h
OC Safi vs. Kawkab AC: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $221 4h
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 86¢ $1,856 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $55 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $75 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $75 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $74 4h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 93¢ $75 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-6.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +9.9% -0.6% 95% 66% +1.5%
≤30d 129 -6.1% -15.0% 81% 58% +0.4%
≤90d 138 +3.8% -6.1% 82% 61% +0.7%
all 138 +3.8% -6.1% 82% 61% +0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -6.1% 61% +0.7%
10% -15.1% 25% -9.0%
15% -23.3% 4% -17.8%
20% -30.8% 3% -25.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73,409.09 · official $73,409.09 (match) · 345 history records