Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:43:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x002a…8d89
crypto · 1531 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,829 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,829 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,829
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses805 / 726
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1531 / 1531
History coverage64d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day35.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1531 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$593
7 days−$961
14 days−$872
30 days−$1,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$33 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$18 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$28 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$71 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $57 +$42 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$17 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$13 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$20 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$59 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$8 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $68 +$23 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$37 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$48 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $43 +$33 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $68 +$22 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $62 +$27 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$39 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$82 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$25 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$9 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$87 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $53 +$37 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $86 −$84 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$67 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$21 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$12 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$11 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$68 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $75 −$68 -91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$8 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $86 −$84 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $112 +$69 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$1,885
finance 2% +$25
other 1% +$23
weather 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $8 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -15.1% -23.1% 45% 45% -25.2%
≤30d 514 -10.8% -19.3% 52% 47% -22.0%
≤90d 1531 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 50% -18.6%
all 1531 -6.8% -15.7% 53% 50% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 50% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 45% -26.4%
15% -31.1% 37% -33.5%
20% -37.9% 28% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records