trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 23 | $46 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 23 | $1,207 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $1,240 | −$2 | -0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 23 | $1,142 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Kim Byeong-ju win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | May 12 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 12 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | May 10 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | May 10 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May? | May 09 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 09 | $800 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | May 09 | $824 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 09 | $784 | −$4 | -0% |
| Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | May 05 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 05 | $62 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | May 05 | $830 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | May 05 | $854 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | May 04 | $833 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 04 | $53 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election | May 04 | $858 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | May 04 | $772 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 05 | $185 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 05 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 05 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | Apr 01 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi | Apr 01 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 01 | $28 | $0 | -0% |