trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 26 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 38% | 4% | -11.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.3% | 4% | -11.2% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 4% | -19.7% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 4% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 4% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $34 | −$1 | -2% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 14 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 13 | $40 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 11 | $44 | $0 | -0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 25 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș? | Jun 25 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 16 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 14 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 14 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 13 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on June 13? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 11 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 06 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Patriots draft Travis Hunter in 2025? | Apr 19 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 49-50°F on February | Mar 20 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Ohio State vs. USC | Mar 20 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |