Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0025…31ba
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$30 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$30
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses23 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)43 / 43
History coverage2d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 43 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$13 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$10 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$12 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$11 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +7.2% -3.0% 53% 53% +3.6%
≤30d 43 +7.2% -3.0% 53% 53% +3.6%
≤90d 43 +7.2% -3.0% 53% 53% +3.6%
all 43 +7.2% -3.0% 53% 53% +3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.0% 53% +3.6%
10% -12.3% 53% -6.3%
15% -20.7% 53% -15.4%
20% -28.5% 53% -23.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 66 history records