trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +35.3% | +22.4% | 50% | 50% | +20.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +35.3% | +22.4% | 50% | 50% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +28.7% | +16.4% | 60% | 40% | +6.4% |
| all | 87 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 57% | 49% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 49% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 32% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 28% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 18% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Alex Pereira | 50¢ | 50¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | Justin Gaethje | 21¢ | 20¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | +$20 | +97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $51 | +$88 | +172% |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 12 | $52 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac | Jun 12 | $26 | −$8 | -31% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | Apr 26 | $150 | +$3 | +2% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 27 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 23 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Warriors | Feb 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Honus Wagner card sale >$7 million? | Feb 22 | $549 | +$41 | +7% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi | Feb 16 | $182 | +$112 | +62% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | Feb 09 | $94 | +$87 | +92% |
| Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 | Jan 19 | $15 | −$10 | -66% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Jan 18 | $50 | −$13 | -26% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Jan 18 | $50 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Jan 18 | $200 | +$16 | +8% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 18 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | Jan 18 | $25 | −$18 | -70% |
| Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5 | Jan 18 | $25 | +$26 | +104% |
| Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026? | Jan 17 | $50 | +$53 | +107% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 mil | Jan 15 | $162 | +$25 | +16% |
| Spread: Texans (-6.5) | Jan 13 | $25 | +$44 | +178% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 12 | $43 | +$50 | +117% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 11 | $122 | −$122 | -100% |
| Will Christian McCaffrey be the Top Fantasy Running Back for the 2025– | Jan 05 | $50 | +$43 | +86% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West? | Jan 05 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jan 05 | $100 | −$20 | -20% |
| Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record? | Dec 28 | $150 | +$21 | +14% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Nov 25 | $100 | −$1 | -2% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Nov 25 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes? | Nov 25 | $255 | −$91 | -36% |
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | Nov 25 | $15 | +$16 | +104% |
| Spread: Ravens (-13.5) | Nov 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Bears | Nov 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Nov 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) | Nov 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files? | Nov 21 | $25 | +$11 | +45% |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | Nov 18 | $25 | +$25 | +100% |
| Bears vs. Vikings | Nov 17 | $15 | +$22 | +144% |
| Chargers vs. Jaguars | Nov 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | Nov 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Dolphins | Nov 16 | $25 | +$20 | +79% |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 16 | $150 | +$53 | +35% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 14? | Nov 15 | $50 | +$17 | +34% |
| Spread: Patriots (-10.5) | Nov 14 | $100 | +$79 | +79% |
| Wisconsin vs. Michigan | Nov 13 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Nets | Nov 13 | $600 | −$600 | -100% |
| Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | Nov 13 | $100 | +$11 | +12% |
| Will Oscar Piastri finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | Nov 09 | $100 | +$42 | +42% |
| Raptors vs. Trail Blazers | Mar 16 | $447 | −$248 | -55% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Mar 16 | $831 | +$16 | +2% |