Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

00
0x0022…b66e
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$40 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$32
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses12 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)51 / 53
History coverage616d
Avg bet$353
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 2 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $19 $19 +$0 (+0%)
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No 100¢ 100¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $12 $0 -0%
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 06 $14 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? Jun 05 $23 $0 +0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 28 $23 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $83 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $80 $0 -0%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 21 $12 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 20 $12 $0 -0%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 19 $73 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $80 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $7 +$4 +65%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 11 $74 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $72 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 07 $70 $0 -0%
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 06 $70 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 01 $73 $0 -0%
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $76 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 23 $74 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 23 $145 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $72 $0 -0%
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 22 $70 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $70 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $71 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 18 $69 $0 -0%
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $73 $0 -0%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $11 +$6 +60%
Heat vs. Raptors Apr 08 $7 +$7 +93%
Blackhawks vs. Sharks Apr 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $15 +$1 +10%
Heat vs. Pacers Apr 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? Apr 06 $25 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March? Apr 06 $50 $0 +1%
Bruins vs. Sabres Mar 27 $33 −$33 -100%
Sharks vs. Predators Mar 25 $31 +$24 +75%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 142.5 Mar 24 $23 +$23 +99%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 05 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? Mar 05 $95 +$1 +1%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Feb 09 $13,648 −$13 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 11 $3 $0 -1%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $16 $0 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Aug 04 $13 $0 +1%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 29 $13 $0 -0%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 09 $24 −$1 -3%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 11 $33 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 10 $319 −$2 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 31 $325 −$2 -1%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 26 $1,278 −$3 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 73% −$13
politics 17% −$9
other 6% −$1
sports 2% −$18
crypto 1% +$1
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 51m
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 6d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 6d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $14 7d
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $14 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $13 8d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $13 9d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $12 16d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $12 17d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $19 17d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $13 17d
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 17d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $11 22d
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $23 22d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $11 22d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 23d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 23d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals BUY St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ $7 23d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $12 24d
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $12 24d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 25d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 25d
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $73 26d
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $73 26d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $79 26d
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $79 27d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $79 32d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $80 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 11 -9.2% -17.8% 9% 0% -11.3%
≤90d 38 -2.6% -11.9% 24% 13% -10.5%
all 51 -2.1% -11.4% 24% 10% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 10% -9.7%
10% -19.9% 10% -18.4%
15% -27.6% 10% -26.2%
20% -34.7% 10% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $32.10 · official $32.10 (match) · 279 history records