trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +86.2% | +68.5% | 50% | 50% | -86.7% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +86.2% | +68.5% | 50% | 50% | -86.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +46.9% | +33.0% | 40% | 40% | -70.3% |
| all | 5 | +46.9% | +33.0% | 40% | 40% | -70.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +33.0% | 40% | -70.3% |
| 10% | +20.2% | 40% | -73.1% |
| 15% | +8.6% | 40% | -75.7% |
| 20% | -2.0% | 40% | -78.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $0 | −$7 (-97%) |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $11 | $0 | −$11 (-98%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-83%) |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 7¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-79%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-99%) |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 16 | $365 | −$351 | -96% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $11 | +$30 | +269% |
| Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $29 | +$45 | +157% |
| Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 11 | $32 | −$23 | -71% |
| Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Mar 31 | $10 | −$2 | -23% |