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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $484
tr/day 1.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 95%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
bet $362
tr/day 3.5
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $40
tr/day 4.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 14%
Kalshi 36%
active 0d
bet $49
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 9%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
bet $72
tr/day 1.0
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 21%
Kalshi 91%
active 0d
bet $58
tr/day 0.0
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 19%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $46
tr/day 1.4
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
—
+$328 ·3🔓
ROI +41%
Net +28%
bet $108
tr/day 0.1
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $24
tr/day 0.3
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
2310
0x774b…4863
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $846
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $24
tr/day 1.0
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 74%
active 0d
bet $254
tr/day 0.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
bet $82
tr/day 1.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 11%
Kalshi 40%
active 0d
bet $14
tr/day 0.1
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 98%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $62
tr/day 1.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $32
tr/day 0.7
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 19%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $50
tr/day 1.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $240
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 60%
active 0d
bet $20
tr/day 1.0
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 44%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 0.0
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 54%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 1.3
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
2322
0xd4c5…3e0e
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $527
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 9%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
bet $39
tr/day 0.0
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $139
tr/day 1.3
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 9%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $195
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $23
tr/day 1.4
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 18%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $133
tr/day 3.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $185
tr/day 0.4
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 18%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $96
tr/day 1.1
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/55/55
draw 30%
Kalshi 42%
active 0d
+$266 ·1🔓
ROI +19%
Net +8%
bet $432
tr/day 0.8
WR 29%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 9%
Kalshi 36%
active 0d
bet $11
tr/day 0.1
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 90%
active 0d
bet $103
tr/day 7.0
WR —
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $83
tr/day 1.9
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/50/50
draw 56%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
+$357 ·1🔓
ROI +55%
Net +41%
bet $13
tr/day 0.9
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 5%
Kalshi 57%
active 0d
bet $25
tr/day 1.8
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $104
tr/day 0.1
WR 20%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 78%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $72
tr/day 3.0
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all 60/50/50
draw 31%
Kalshi 25%
active 0d
+$139 ·4🔓
ROI +57%
Net +42%
bet $30
tr/day 0.9
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 15%
Kalshi 78%
active 0d
—
+$185 ·1🔓
ROI +138%
Net +115%
bet $49
tr/day 0.0
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 7%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $40
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 13%
Kalshi 75%
active 0d
2341
0x1a00…e88a
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $2,019
tr/day 0.1
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 0%
active 0d
bet $38
tr/day 0.3
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 2%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
bet $117
tr/day 1.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 26%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
bet $7
tr/day 0.0
WR 65%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 38%
Kalshi 82%
active 9d
bet $17
tr/day 0.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 32%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $15
tr/day 0.2
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 71%
active 0d
bet $398
tr/day 7.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 0d
bet $19
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 34%
Kalshi 29%
active 0d
bet $354
tr/day 2.1
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 65%
Kalshi 50%
active 0d
bet $10
tr/day 6.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 33%
active 0d
#2301
other
#2302
sports
#2303
other
#2304
other
#2305
sports
#2306
crypto
#2307
—
borderline
other
#2308
other
#2309
—
other
#2310
sports
#2311
—
borderline
sports
#2312
other
#2313
other
#2314
sports
#2315
other
#2316
other
#2317
—
sports
#2318
other
#2319
other
#2320
sports
#2321
—
borderline
sports
#2322
politics
#2323
world
#2324
other
#2325
world
#2326
other
#2327
other
#2328
sports
#2329
thin data
other
#2330
other
#2331
sports
#2332
—
sports
#2333
borderline
sports
#2334
other
#2335
sports
#2336
sports
#2337
thin data
other
#2338
—
borderline
sports
#2339
sports
#2340
world
#2341
other
#2342
other
#2343
other
#2344
—
borderline
sports
#2345
other
#2346
world
#2347
sports
#2348
other
#2349
sports
#2350
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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