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WATCH · <5.0
below the trust threshold — watching only, not copying yet.
bet $21
tr/day 0.6
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/55
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 5d
bet $158
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 0%
active 9d
bet $69
tr/day 6.9
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 47%
Kalshi 96%
active 10d
2004
0xfe56…c198
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche sports
bet $879
tr/day 1.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 39%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
bet $219
tr/day 0.4
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 79%
Kalshi 83%
active 0d
bet $376
tr/day 0.2
WR 56%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 48%
Kalshi 67%
active 7d
bet $81
tr/day 0.6
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 14%
active 0d
—
+$167 ·6🔓
ROI +35%
Net +23%
bet $344
tr/day 0.8
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 19%
Kalshi 82%
active 9d
bet $319
tr/day 0.2
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 56%
Kalshi 79%
active 9d
bet $53
tr/day 0.0
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 33%
active 9d
bet $12
tr/day 4.7
WR 81%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
bet $7
tr/day 1.0
WR 55%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 86%
Kalshi 52%
active 9d
bet $290
tr/day 0.5
WR 44%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 32%
Kalshi 78%
active 9d
bet $221
tr/day 0.5
WR 41%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 15%
Kalshi 71%
active 13d
bet $31
tr/day 0.1
WR 8%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 22%
Kalshi 38%
active 0d
—
+$583 ·1🔓
ROI +59%
Net +44%
bet $5
tr/day 3.9
WR 40%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 20%
active 8d
bet $119
tr/day 1.1
WR 64%
WR 7/30/all —/64/64
draw 53%
Kalshi 100%
active 0d
+$303 ·1🔓
ROI +12%
Net +1%
2018
0x0721…9ecc
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,121
tr/day 0.1
WR 25%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 75%
active 9d
2019
0x93c3…798c
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche politics
bet $1,081
tr/day 0.1
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $321
tr/day 0.4
WR 14%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 41%
Kalshi 71%
active 9d
bet $325
tr/day 0.2
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 1%
Kalshi 80%
active 9d
bet $152
tr/day 0.2
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 67%
active 9d
bet $11
tr/day 1.1
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 51%
Kalshi 50%
active 13d
2024
0xe954…81a4
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $107
tr/day 16.1
WR 43%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 43%
Kalshi 88%
active 0d
—
+$595 ·1🔓
ROI +36%
Net +14%
2025
0x813a…fc34
≈
↗
· high-conviction (rare large bets)
niche other
bet $694
tr/day 0.5
WR 57%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 62%
Kalshi 43%
active 6d
bet $120
tr/day 0.8
WR 36%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 20%
Kalshi 91%
active 8d
bet $105
tr/day 0.1
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/60
draw 100%
Kalshi 33%
active 9d
−$251 ·2🔓
ROI -17%
Net -25%
bet $174
tr/day 4.4
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 48%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $38
tr/day 1.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 86%
active 1d
2030
0x2a21…5c28
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $181
tr/day 17.6
WR 68%
WR 7/30/all 77/68/68
draw 56%
Kalshi 85%
active 0d
+$214 ·1🔓
ROI +24%
Net +3%
bet $106
tr/day 2.5
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 50%
active 6d
bet $99
tr/day 0.4
WR 80%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $30
tr/day 2.8
WR 27%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 73%
active 0d
—
+$180 ·2🔓
ROI +23%
Net +11%
bet $22
tr/day 0.1
WR 75%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 11%
Kalshi 25%
active 6d
bet $5
tr/day 0.2
WR 88%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 12%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $62
tr/day 0.7
WR 45%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 95%
active 1d
—
+$112
ROI +142%
Net +119%
bet $365
tr/day 2.2
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 8d
bet $47
tr/day 0.5
WR 71%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 29%
active 9d
2039
0x35d0…2f46
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $115
tr/day 15.0
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 100%
active 9d
bet $101
tr/day 0.0
WR 73%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 64%
active 9d
2041
0x1151…f115
≈
↗
· high-frequency scalper
niche sports
bet $17
tr/day 18.6
WR 62%
WR 7/30/all 52/62/62
draw 32%
Kalshi 94%
active 0d
+$227 ·1🔓
ROI +35%
Net +13%
bet $91
tr/day 2.8
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 16%
Kalshi 89%
active 8d
bet $431
tr/day 1.1
WR 100%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 0%
Kalshi 67%
active 6d
bet $5
tr/day 0.8
WR 47%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 88%
Kalshi 73%
active 12d
bet $11
tr/day 0.7
WR 48%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 36%
Kalshi 60%
active 7d
bet $10
tr/day 0.6
WR 67%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 30%
Kalshi 0%
active 9d
bet $267
tr/day 0.2
WR 50%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 100%
Kalshi 25%
active 9d
bet $29
tr/day 0.3
WR 60%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 25%
Kalshi 50%
active 1d
bet $123
tr/day 5.6
WR 76%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 30%
Kalshi 94%
active 12d
bet $38
tr/day 0.5
WR 33%
WR 7/30/all —/—/—
draw 6%
Kalshi 33%
active 8d
#2001
thin data
other
#2002
other
#2003
—
borderline
sports
#2004
sports
#2005
—
borderline
world
#2006
world
#2007
—
borderline
other
#2008
world
#2009
—
borderline
world
#2010
other
#2011
—
borderline
crypto
#2012
—
borderline
other
#2013
world
#2014
—
borderline
world
#2015
—
borderline
other
#2016
—
borderline
other
#2017
thin data
sports
#2018
politics
#2019
politics
#2020
world
#2021
world
#2022
world
#2023
—
borderline
other
#2024
—
borderline
sports
#2025
other
#2026
world
#2027
thin data
other
#2028
sports
#2029
sports
#2030
borderline
sports
#2031
other
#2032
sports
#2033
—
borderline
sports
#2034
other
#2035
crypto
#2036
—
borderline
sports
#2037
—
economics
#2038
other
#2039
thin data
sports
#2040
sports
#2041
copyable
sports
#2042
sports
#2043
sports
#2044
—
borderline
crypto
#2045
—
borderline
sports
#2046
other
#2047
other
#2048
other
#2049
—
borderline
crypto
#2050
other
<b>score</b> = bet ≤$1k (whales >$10k filtered out) + low frequency + <b>few add-ons</b> + <b>smooth growth</b> + ROI/WR + <b>persistence</b> + recency.
<b>TOTAL$</b> = realized + open positions at current price (mark-to-market, like Polymarket); <b>·N🔓</b> = open positions. <b>ROI/WR/draw</b> are on realized closed markets.
<b>Net-edge</b> = net ROI after realistic slippage (the “copy tax”) — what the copier actually keeps, not the leader. Chip: <b>copyable</b> / <b>borderline</b> / <b>trap</b> (profits on perfect fill only) / <b>negative</b>. Computed when ≥12 resolved markets.
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